Is this momentum??
MVP friends,
Is this momentum??
Register here for our briefing next Thursday!
In a special election on Tuesday, Democrats staged a major upset by flipping a deep-red Pennsylvania State Senate seat (in a district Trump won by 15 points) and putting us within striking range of a Democratic trifecta. Shout-out to MVP partner Turn PA Blue and others for throwing down and flipping the seat (by 482 votes).
We’ve seen similar recent overperformances in state and local races from New Hampshire to Virginia to Iowa. It’s still too early to tell, but if these races are any indicator, we could be in for a very big blue wave next year. Congressional town halls have been through the roof (see below). And next Saturday April 5th is expected to be the largest single day of protest of the new Trump administration.
According to aggregated polling, Trump’s net approval has already dropped 13 points since inauguration. For two weeks now, he has been consistently under water. Elon Musk, who is even more unpopular, is dragging Trump down. We are seeing growing anger among voters Trump won – from veterans who are losing jobs to pissed-off young voters who hoped that Trump might help them economically.
Next Tuesday, April 1st, the political world will be watching the results of the all-important Wisconsin State Supreme Court race (which MVP is investing heavily in – thanks to your support!! Donate. Volunteer with MVP partners Seed the Vote and/or Wisconsin Working Families Party) as well as two special House elections in Florida. We’re unlikely to win the Florida races which are in R+14 and R+19 districts, but the margins will be interesting to watch. We’ve made a decision to invest in the NY-21 special election later this year (which is only R+9) on the hypothesis that Trump is likely to become significantly more unpopular by election day (which is likely to be called in either June or November). We have to change the narrative. Trump is sinking. He is hurting Americans. He and his cronies are incompetent and corrupt.
I’m starting to feel for the first time like we might be on the verge of a turning point – with resistance and electoral momentum rising to thwart the MAGA menace. If Republican House members and their political consultants begin to feel like they’re losing support and popularity, they might – just might – start to have second thoughts about slashing health care, education, and Social Security. If Republicans can’t pass their tax bill, the wheels could really start to come off the defective Trump Cybertruck.
Bush was popular until he wasn’t. Biden was popular until he wasn’t. Are we nearing a tipping point with Trump? We’ll know more next week. Musk has spent more than $17 million on Wisconsin, has 500 canvassers on the doors with white Trump-branded lanyards, and is bribing voters $100 each to sign a petition, hoping to replicate their playbook from 2024. If we beat Elon’s skullduggery in Wisconsin, we could begin to turn the tide.
Either way, we need a much larger strategy to actually change the game. MVP is doing a lot of deep ground work and making a series of big bets to both block authoritarianism in the short term and rebuild a winning Democratic coalition over the long term. We’ll give you the latest updates next week.
We are grateful to have you with us. Hope to see you on the Thursday call!
Billy Wimsatt, MVP Executive Director
(On behalf of the MVP team)
YOU ARE INVITED
Briefing Next Thursday!
Next Thursday (April 3), we’re having a national briefing on our national, coordinated, movement-wide plan to block Trump’s agenda and flip the U.S. House in 2026.
Movement Voter PAC Briefing:
Is this Momentum??
Thursday, April 3, 2025
2-3pm ET • 1-2pm CT • Noon-1pm MT • 11am-Noon PT
Screenshot: Decision Desk HQ, Pennsylvania State Senate 36 Special Election results. 3/25/2025.
PENNSYLVANIA VICTORY
MVP Partners Turn Out Voters; Dems Win Deep-Red Stronghold
In Pennsylvania’s two special elections yesterday, Democrats won both state House District 35 and state Senate District 36 — the latter by less than 500 votes in a district Trump won by 15 points.
Screenshot: 603 Forward, Town Election 2025 Victory Graphics, 3/12/2025
NEW HAMPSHIRE VICTORY
New Hope from New Hampshire: 603 Forward & MomsRising Win Progressive Victories in Town Elections
In NH’s March town elections, progressives won big — including in red and purple areas — and MVP partners helped make it happen. Of 40+ new young elected leaders, 603 Forward helped recruit, train, and elect 15; meanwhile, MomsRising helped win a full-day kindergarten ballot measure by *13 votes*!
Screenshot: Indivisible Brooklyn’s Bluesky account, 3/19/2025: Staten Island “Empty Chair” Town Hall to Pressure NY-11 GOP Rep. Malliotakis – Organized by MVP partners Citizen Action of NY, Make the Road NY, Indivisible Brooklyn, and other allied groups
HOW WE FIGHT BACK
What are MVP Partners Doing to Block the Trump Agenda??
In competitive U.S. House districts across the country, MVP local partners are organizing to hold the nation’s most vulnerable GOP representatives’ feet to the fire — while also keeping that same heat on Democratic representatives! — to block Trump’s agenda.
Working Families Party: Poster for new “Working Class Wins” candidate recruitment program
WHAT DO WE DO ABOUT THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY?
One Thing We Need To Do: Run Better Candidates. Working Families Party is Leading the Way.
Since long before 2024 — and only more so in 2025 — one of the most pressing questions MVP has wrestled with is: What do we do about the Democratic Party?!!
Obviously, there is not one single answer. But a significant piece of the puzzle that MVP grantee partners are leading the charge on is identifying, recruiting, and running more compelling candidates at every level.
Now, one of MVP’s closest national grantee partners, the Working Families Party, is launching its biggest candidate recruitment effort ever — Working Class Wins — to recruit 1,000+ working-class candidates to run for local office in key districts across the country.
WHAT YOU CAN DO
Top 5 Ways to Turn Anxiety & Anger into Action
Here are our current top recommendations:
- Check out MVP’s plan to block Trump and win power, and contribute if you’re as fired up as we are.
- Volunteer with MVP through our Donor Organizing Program, and help us build a movement of donors funding grassroots organizing.
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Volunteer with MVP partners Seed the Vote and/or Wisconsin Working Families Party to win the April 1st Wisconsin Supreme Court election.
- Organize locally with Indivisible by joining or starting a local chapter.
- Join the April 5 National Day of Action to tell Trump and Musk: “Hands off our country!”
Let’s do this!
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