The best way to stop Trump? Flip the House in 2026, then build our majority — by funding long-term organizing in key districts now.
Unlike candidate campaigns and ads that vanish after Election Day, MVP invests in locally-rooted organizing groups that develop leaders, fight for their communities year-round, hold elected officials’ feet to the fire, and build power that grows each year. This is how we beat MAGA and win long-term.

Photo: Citizen Action of New York (CANY) - Stop the Cuts Rally in NY-11
Target Districts
MVP is targeting 40 key swing districts across 20 states. This targeting reflects past election results, current developments — including mid-cycle redistricting — the 2028 Presidential map, and the presence of well-positioned local partners.
Note: We may adjust targeting as conditions shift.
GOP Seats to Flip (27)
District | Representative | 2024 Margin | 2024 % |
|---|---|---|---|
AK-AL | Nick Begich III | 7,876 | 2.4% |
AZ-01 | David Schweikert (Open Seat) | 16,700 | 3.9% |
AZ-06 | Juan Ciscomani | 10,822 | 2.5% |
CA-22 | David Valadao | N/A due to redistricting | |
CA-48 | Darrel Issa | N/A due to redistricting | |
CO-08 | Gabe Evans | 2,449 | 0.7% |
FL-26 | Mario Diaz-Balart | N/A due to redistricting | |
FL-27 | Maria Elvira Salazar | N/A due to redistricting | |
IA-01 | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 799 | 0.2% |
IA-03 | Zach Nunn | 15,784 | 3.8% |
MI-07 | Tom Barrett | 16,763 | 3.7% |
MI-10 | John James (Open Seat) | 26,088 | 6.1% |
MT-01 | Ryan Zinke (Open Seat) | 24,746 | 7.7% |
NE-02 | Don Bacon | 5,829 | 1.9% |
NJ-07 | Tom Kean Jr. | 25,026 | 5.9% |
NY-01 | Nick LaLota | 42,745 | 10.4% |
NY-11 | Nicole Malliotakis | 73,513 | 28.2% |
NY-17 | Mike Lawler | 23,813 | 6.3% |
PA-07 | Ryan Mackenzie | 4,062 | 1.0% |
PA-08 | Rob Bresnahan | 6,252 | 1.6% |
PA-10 | Scott Perry | 5,133 | 1.3% |
TN–05 | Andy Ogles | N/A due to redistricting | |
VA-01 | Rob Wittman | 61,212 | 12.8% |
VA-02 | Jen Kiggans | 15,702 | 3.8% |
VA-05 | John McGuire | 65,335 | 15.0% |
WI-01 | Bryan Steil | 40,112 | 10.2% |
WI-03 | Derrick Van Orden | 11,256 | 2.7% |
Democratic Seats to Defend (13)
District | Representative | 2024 Margin | 2024 % |
|---|---|---|---|
CA-13 | Adam Gray | N/A due to redistricting | |
CA-45 | Derek Tran | N/A due to redistricting | |
FL-22 | Lois Frankel | N/A due to redistricting | |
FL-25 | Debbie Wasserman Schultz | N/A due to redistricting | |
ME-02 | Jared Golden (Open Seat) | 2,706 | 0.7% |
MI-08 | Kristen McDonald Rivet | 28,151 | 6.6% |
MN-02 | Angie Craig (Open Seat) | 56,130 | 13.5% |
NC-01 | Don Davis | N/A due to redistricting | |
OH-01 | Greg Landsman | 35,923 | 9.2% |
OH-09 | Marcy Kaptur | 181,098 | 0.6% |
TN-09 | Steve Cohen (Open Seat) | N/A due to redistricting | |
TX-34 | Vicente Gonzalez | N/A due to redistricting | |
VA-07 | Eugene Vindman | 10,489 | 2.6% |
Why Local Organizing
Problem: Boom-bust funding and shallow tactics.
- Boom-and-bust funding means “too little, too late.” Most House race funding is last-minute and goes to ads and superficial voter contact that alienate voters and fail to move the needle.
- We are already at a disadvantage, from GOP-rigged maps to a tarnished Democratic brand.
- In 2022, we lost the House by 6,675 votes across five districts: 0.006% of all votes cast.
- In 2024, we lost by 7,309 votes across three districts: 0.005% of votes cast.

Associated Press - 2024 House Election Results
Solution: Consistent funding for deep organizing.
- Local advocacy builds toward electoral victory. MVP’s grantee partners aren’t just turning out voters in November – they are organizing town halls, protests, and more right now to delay and defeat MAGA bills. Scaling up this work now maximizes our chances in the fall.
- Local organizing tips close races. In 2024, MVP partners helped win at least eight races and defend ten, netting a Democratic seat and denying the GOP all but the thinnest majority.
- Local coalitions turn out more voters. In 2024, two new MVP-funded efforts, Battleground CA and Battleground NY, helped win eight House races by aligning labor, activist, and community groups around a shared plan. This year, we’re bringing this strategy to all the top districts.
- Sustained investment brings sustained majorities. Year-round, multi-year funding allows local organizations to staff up, scale up, and build electoral power that grows with each cycle.
Grantee Partners
National Partner: Battleground Alliance
Battleground Alliance is a new coalition of local and national organizing groups coordinating a lasting organizing presence in all the top 2026 districts, so we can flip the House and keep it long-term.
Seed-funded by MVP and led by our allies and partners, Battleground seeks to:
- Win the House in 2026 by flipping and defending the most competitive seats.
- Grow a sustained House majority through local organizing in those districts.
- Optimize resources by coordinating local, state, and national efforts.
- Maximize impact by sharing insights and best practices across each district.
- Attract resources and people power to these districts in a coordinated way.
- Delay and defeat GOP bills by holding members’ feet to the fire through grassroots pressure.
National partners include AFSCME (American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees), CWA (Communication Workers of America), Indivisible, MoveOn, People’s Action, Popular Democracy in Action, SEIU (Service Employees International Union), Working Families Party, and more.
Sampling of State and Local Partners
- Arizona: Activate 48, Arizona Working Families Party, Chispa AZ, LUCHA, Our Voice Our Vote
- California: Battleground California (a coalition of several state-based organizations)
- Colorado: CIRC Action, Colorado Working Families Party
- Florida: like Florida for All, Florida Rising, and FLIC Votes
- Iowa: Progress Iowa, Alliance for a Better Iowa
- Maine: Maine People’s Alliance, Maine Youth Power, Food AND Medicine
- Michigan: Clean Water Action, Detroit Action, Emgage Action, Oakland Forward Action
- Minnesota: Faith in Minnesota Action, Unidos MN
- Montana: Western Native Voice, Wild Montana Action Fund, Forward Montana
- New Jersey: Make the Road Action New Jersey
- New York: Battleground New York; Citizen Action of New York; Make the Road Action NY
- North Carolina: Advance Carolina and A. Phillip Randolph Educational Fund
- Pennsylvania: Action Together NEPA, CASA in Action, Make The Road Action Pennsylvania, One Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania Stands Up, Pennsylvania Working Families Party
- Tennessee: Action TN, The Equity Alliance, TIRRC Votes, Memphis for All
- Virginia: New Virginia Majority, CASA in Action - Virginia
- Wisconsin: Citizen Action of Wisconsin, WI Farmers Union, Wisconsin Working Families Party
