Updated June 10, 2026

Plan to Flip the House

Goal: Flip the House in '26 and build our majority in '28.

Why the House? A Democratic House can block MAGA bills, stop the dismantling of federal agencies, influence federal spending, launch investigations, issue subpoenas, file lawsuits, and more. 

How do we flip it? MVP is investing in year-round organizing in 30 key swing districts.

House Map - 2026-06-01 - Cropped for Web
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The best way to stop Trump? Flip the House in 2026, then build our majority — by funding long-term organizing in key districts now.

Unlike candidate campaigns and ads that vanish after Election Day, MVP invests in locally-rooted organizing groups that develop leaders, fight for their communities year-round, hold elected officials’ feet to the fire, and build power that grows each year. This is how we beat MAGA and win long-term.

Photo of Citizen Action of New York (CANY) Stop the Cuts Rally in NY-11

Photo: Citizen Action of New York (CANY) - Stop the Cuts Rally in NY-11

Target Districts

MVP is targeting 40 key swing districts across 20 states. This targeting reflects past election results, current developments — including mid-cycle redistricting — the 2028 Presidential map, and the presence of well-positioned local partners.

Note: We may adjust targeting as conditions shift.

GOP Seats to Flip (27)

District

Representative

2024 Margin

2024 %

AK-AL

Nick Begich III

7,876

2.4%

AZ-01

David Schweikert (Open Seat)

16,700

3.9%

AZ-06

Juan Ciscomani

10,822

2.5%

CA-22

David Valadao

N/A due to redistricting

CA-48

Darrel Issa

N/A due to redistricting

CO-08

Gabe Evans

2,449

0.7%

FL-26

Mario Diaz-Balart

N/A due to redistricting

FL-27

Maria Elvira Salazar

N/A due to redistricting

IA-01

Mariannette Miller-Meeks

799

0.2%

IA-03

Zach Nunn

15,784

3.8%

MI-07

Tom Barrett

16,763

3.7%

MI-10

John James (Open Seat)

26,088

6.1%

MT-01

Ryan Zinke (Open Seat)

24,746

7.7%

NE-02

Don Bacon

5,829

1.9%

NJ-07

Tom Kean Jr.

25,026

5.9%

NY-01

Nick LaLota

42,745

10.4%

NY-11

Nicole Malliotakis

73,513

28.2%

NY-17

Mike Lawler

23,813

6.3%

PA-07

Ryan Mackenzie

4,062

1.0%

PA-08

Rob Bresnahan

6,252

1.6%

PA-10

Scott Perry

5,133

1.3%

TN–05

Andy Ogles

N/A due to redistricting

VA-01

Rob Wittman

61,212

12.8%

VA-02

Jen Kiggans

15,702

3.8%

VA-05

John McGuire

65,335

15.0%

WI-01

Bryan Steil

40,112

10.2%

WI-03

Derrick Van Orden

11,256

2.7%

Democratic Seats to Defend (13)

District

Representative

2024 Margin

2024 %

CA-13

Adam Gray

N/A due to redistricting

CA-45

Derek Tran

N/A due to redistricting

FL-22

Lois Frankel

N/A due to redistricting

FL-25

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

N/A due to redistricting

ME-02

Jared Golden (Open Seat)

2,706

0.7%

MI-08

Kristen McDonald Rivet

28,151

6.6%

MN-02

Angie Craig (Open Seat)

56,130

13.5%

NC-01

Don Davis

N/A due to redistricting

OH-01

Greg Landsman

35,923

9.2%

OH-09

Marcy Kaptur

181,098

0.6%

TN-09

Steve Cohen (Open Seat)

N/A due to redistricting

TX-34

Vicente Gonzalez

N/A due to redistricting

VA-07

Eugene Vindman

10,489

2.6%

Why Local Organizing

Problem: Boom-bust funding and shallow tactics.

  • Boom-and-bust funding means “too little, too late.” Most House race funding is last-minute and goes to ads and superficial voter contact that alienate voters and fail to move the needle.
  • We are already at a disadvantage, from GOP-rigged maps to a tarnished Democratic brand.
  • In 2022, we lost the House by 6,675 votes across five districts: 0.006% of all votes cast.
  • In 2024, we lost by 7,309 votes across three districts: 0.005% of votes cast.
Map of 2024 House Election Results

Associated Press - 2024 House Election Results

Solution: Consistent funding for deep organizing.

  • Local advocacy builds toward electoral victory. MVP’s grantee partners aren’t just turning out voters in November – they are organizing town halls, protests, and more right now to delay and defeat MAGA bills. Scaling up this work now maximizes our chances in the fall.
  • Local organizing tips close races. In 2024, MVP partners helped win at least eight races and defend ten, netting a Democratic seat and denying the GOP all but the thinnest majority.
  • Local coalitions turn out more voters. In 2024, two new MVP-funded efforts, Battleground CA and Battleground NY, helped win eight House races by aligning labor, activist, and community groups around a shared plan. This year, we’re bringing this strategy to all the top districts.
  • Sustained investment brings sustained majorities. Year-round, multi-year funding allows local organizations to staff up, scale up, and build electoral power that grows with each cycle.

Grantee Partners

National Partner: Battleground Alliance

Battleground Alliance is a new coalition of local and national organizing groups coordinating a lasting organizing presence in all the top 2026 districts, so we can flip the House and keep it long-term.

Seed-funded by MVP and led by our allies and partners, Battleground seeks to:

  1. Win the House in 2026 by flipping and defending the most competitive seats.
  2. Grow a sustained House majority through local organizing in those districts.
  3. Optimize resources by coordinating local, state, and national efforts.
  4. Maximize impact by sharing insights and best practices across each district.
  5. Attract resources and people power to these districts in a coordinated way.
  6. Delay and defeat GOP bills by holding members’ feet to the fire through grassroots pressure.

National partners include AFSCME (American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees), CWA (Communication Workers of America), Indivisible, MoveOn, People’s Action, Popular Democracy in Action, SEIU (Service Employees International Union), Working Families Party, and more.

Sampling of State and Local Partners

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