Updated July 27, 2026

Plan to Flip the House

Goal: Flip the House in '26 and build our majority in '28.

Why: A Democratic House can block MAGA bills, stop the dismantling of federal agencies, influence federal spending, launch investigations, issue subpoenas, file lawsuits, and more. 

How: To flip the House (currently a 219-212 GOP majority), MVP is investing in year-round organizing in 58 swing districts across 23 states.

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The best way to stop Trump? Flip the House in 2026, then build our majority — by funding long-term organizing in key districts now.

Unlike candidate campaigns and ads that vanish after Election Day, MVP invests in locally-rooted organizing groups that develop leaders, fight for their communities year-round, hold elected officials’ feet to the fire, and build power that grows each year. This is how we beat MAGA and win long-term.

Photo of Citizen Action of New York (CANY) Stop the Cuts Rally in NY-11

Photo: Citizen Action of New York (CANY) - Stop the Cuts Rally in NY-11

Target Districts

MVP is targeting 58 key swing districts across 23 states. This reflects past election results, new developments (including redistricting), the 2028 Presidential map, and the presence of well-positioned local partners.

Note: We may adjust targeting as conditions shift.

GOP Seats to Flip

DistrictRepresentative2024 Margin2024 %Race Type
AK-ALNick Begich III (R)7,8762.4%Incumbent
AZ-01David Schweikert (R)16,7003.9%Open Seat
AZ-02Eli Crane (R)36,4509%Incumbent
AZ-06Juan Ciscomani (R)10,8222.5%Incumbent
CA-22David Valadao (R)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
CA-48Darrel Issa (R)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
CO-03Jeff Hurd (R)19,8045%Incumbent
CO-05Jeff Crank (R)49,95213.8%Incumbent
CO-08Gabe Evans (R)2,4490.7%Incumbent
FL-07Cory Mills (R)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
FL-13Anna Paulina Luna (R)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
FL-26Mario Diaz-Balart (R)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
FL-27Maria Elvira Salazar (R)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
IA-01Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)7990.2%Incumbent
IA-02Ashley Hinson (R)63,60015.6%Incumbent
IA-03Zach Nunn (R)15,7843.8%Incumbent
KY-06Andy Barr (R)93,34726.8%Incumbent
MI-04Bill Huizenga (R)49,84811.7%Incumbent
MI-07Tom Barrett (R)16,7633.7%Incumbent
MI-10John James (R)26,0886.1%Open Seat
MN-01Brad Finstad (R)64,55417.1%Incumbent
MO-02Ann Wagner (R)51,38812%Incumbent
MT-01Ryan Zinke (R)24,7467.7%Open Seat
NC-03Gregory Murphy (R)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
NC-11Chuck Edwards (R)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
NE-02Don Bacon (R)5,8291.9%Incumbent
NJ-07Tom Kean Jr. (R)25,0265.9%Incumbent
NY-01Nick LaLota (R)42,74510.4%Incumbent
NY-11Nicole Malliotakis (R)73,51328.2%Incumbent
NY-17Mike Lawler (R)23,8136.3%Incumbent
OH-07Max Miller (R)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
OH-10Mike Turner (R)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
OH-15Mike Carey (R)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
PA-07Ryan Mackenzie (R)4,0621%Incumbent
PA-08Rob Bresnahan (R)6,2521.6%Incumbent
PA-10Scott Perry (R)5,1331.3%Incumbent
TN-05Andy Ogles (R)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
TX-15Monica De La Cruz (R)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
TX-23Tony Gonzales (R)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
VA-01Rob Wittman (R)61,21212.8%Incumbent
VA-02Jen Kiggans (R)15,7023.8%Incumbent
VA-05John McGuire (R)65,33515%Incumbent
WI-01Bryan Steil (R)40,11210.2%Incumbent
WI-03Derrick Van Orden (R)11,2562.7%Incumbent

Democratic Seats to Defend

DistrictRepresentative2024 Margin2024 %Race Type
CA-13Adam Gray (D)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
CA-45Derek Tran (D)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
FL-22Lois Frankel (D)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
FL-25Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
ME-02Jared Golden (D)2,7060.7%Open Seat
MI-08Kristen McDonald Rivet (D)28,1516.6%Incumbent
MN-02Angie Craig (D)56,13013.5%Open Seat
NC-01Don Davis (D)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
NV-03Susie Lee (D)10,2202.8%Incumbent
OH-01Greg Landsman (D)35,9239.2%Incumbent
OH-09Marcy Kaptur (D)181,0980.6%Incumbent
TN-09Steve Cohen (D)N/A due to redistrictingOpen Seat
TX-34Vincente Gonzalez (D)N/A due to redistrictingIncumbent
VA-07Eugene Vindman (D)10,4892.6%Incumbent

Why Local Organizing

Problem: Boom-bust funding and shallow tactics.

  • Boom-and-bust funding means “too little, too late.” Most House race funding is last-minute and goes to ads and superficial voter contact that alienate voters and fail to move the needle.
  • We are already at a disadvantage, from GOP-rigged maps to a tarnished Democratic brand.
  • In 2022, we lost the House by 6,675 votes across five districts: 0.006% of all votes cast.
  • In 2024, we lost by 7,309 votes across three districts: 0.005% of votes cast.
Map of 2024 House Election Results

Associated Press - 2024 House Election Results

Solution: Consistent funding for deep organizing.

  • Local advocacy builds toward electoral victory. MVP’s grantee partners aren’t just turning out voters in November – they are organizing town halls, protests, and more right now to delay and defeat MAGA bills. Scaling up this work now maximizes our chances in the fall.
  • Local organizing tips close races. In 2024, MVP partners helped win at least eight races and defend ten, netting a Democratic seat and denying the GOP all but the thinnest majority.
  • Local coalitions turn out more voters. In 2024, two new MVP-funded efforts, Battleground CA and Battleground NY, helped win eight House races by aligning labor, activist, and community groups around a shared plan. This year, we’re bringing this strategy to all the top districts.
  • Sustained investment brings sustained majorities. Year-round, multi-year funding allows local organizations to staff up, scale up, and build electoral power that grows with each cycle.

Grantee Partners

National Partner: Battleground Alliance

Battleground Alliance is a coalition of groups coordinating long-term organizing in key districts to flip the House and keep it long-term. Seed-funded by MVP and led by partners, Battleground seeks to:

  1. Win the House in 2026 by flipping and defending the most competitive seats.
  2. Grow a sustained House majority through local organizing in those districts.
  3. Optimize resources by coordinating local, state, and national efforts.
  4. Maximize impact by sharing insights and best practices across each district.
  5. Attract resources and people power to these districts in a coordinated way.
  6. Delay and defeat GOP bills by holding members’ feet to the fire through grassroots pressure.

National partners include AFSCME (American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees), CWA (Communication Workers of America), Indivisible, MoveOn, People’s Action, Popular Democracy in Action, SEIU (Service Employees International Union), Working Families Party, and more.

Sampling of State and Local Partners

Support our work to flip the House — and to win power up and down the ballot.

Gifts over $10,000: Contact your MVP liaison or email advisor@movement.vote to discuss options.

PAC Donations

Movement Voter PAC

Movement Voter PAC is a federal political committee that primarily supports the political work of year-round organizing groups working to elect progressive candidates up and down the ballot.

PAC donations maximize impact on elections by giving voter organizing groups the most freedom to engage in partisan or political activity, such as endorsing candidates.

Donations must include full name, email, address, occupation, and employer. Donations are not tax-deductible nor anonymous, and will be reported to the FEC and state campaign regulators. FEC ID#: C00728360

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