We all know how 2024 went — or do we?!
Yes, we lost the presidential election (and we've written a lot about why).
But if you look at our 2024 post-election report-out, you'll be reminded that we also helped stem losses in the Senate, net a seat in the House, and win numerous state and local contests.
One of the questions so many MVP supporters have been asking all year is: What electoral difference did MVP grantee partners really make in 2024? Or, in other words: Did any of their efforts work?
Our new analysis provides strong evidence that the answer to that question is: Yes.
Topline Conclusions
Based on our and others’ analyses, we can confidently say that in 2024, MVP partners:
- Reached over one million unique, likely Democratic voters in key states by door or phone, who were not contacted by the Harris-Walz campaign or party, candidate, or other programs.
- Played a meaningful role in Democrats’ four closest U.S. Senate wins (AZ, MI, NV, and WI).
- Reduced Harris’ loss margins in the three presidential “tipping-point” states (MI, PA, and WI).
- More effectively reached racially diverse, young, infrequent, likely Democratic voters, compared to party and candidate-driven efforts, blunting these groups’ shift toward Trump.
- Boasted higher contact rates by prioritizing person-to-person outreach and year-round civic engagement over cold text outreach, the main approach of party, candidate, and other programs. These methods are likely to have a far greater effect in lower-turnout elections.
Read the Full Analysis
Here is our full analysis: Evidence of Electoral Impact in 2024.
