What was MVP's impact on the 2024 elections?

Elections We Helped Win

If you look beneath the Electoral College map (with its depressing sea of red), one thing is clear: Our work mattered. MVP’s local partners helped secure critical wins from the Senate to school boards.

• In the Senate, MVP partners helped protect four seats, including three by less than 30,000 votes each: Michigan (where our partners made 8.9 million voter contact attempts), Nevada (6.7 million contact attempts), and Wisconsin (6.3 million contact attempts).
• In the House, MVP partners helped flip at least seven seats and hold ten, netting one Democratic seat and cutting the GOP’s majority to a historically thin margin. In each of the four closest victories involving MVP partners, Democrats won by less than 3,000 votes.
• Down ballot, our partners helped win liberal state Supreme Court seats in Kentucky, Michigan, Montana, and potentially North Carolina; hold the North Carolina governorship; break up GOP supermajorities in Montana, North Carolina, and Wisconsin; hold a trifecta in Maine; hold chambers in Minnesota and Pennsylvania; and hold off GOP expansion in Tennessee and Nebraska. They also helped win ballot measures protecting abortion rights in Arizona, Colorado, Missouri, Montana, and Nevada; and ballot campaigns to advance economic fairness in Florida, Missouri, Nebraska, Kentucky, and more.

Read our 2024 post-election report for more details.

Empirical Impact

Based on our and others’ analyses, we can confidently say that in 2024, MVP partners:

1. Reached over one million unique, likely Democratic voters in key states by door or phone, who were not contacted by the Harris-Walz campaign or party, candidate, or other programs.
2. Played a meaningful role in Democrats’ four closest U.S. Senate wins (AZ, MI, NV, and WI).
3. Reduced Harris’ loss margins in the three presidential “tipping-point” states (MI, PA, and WI).
4. More effectively reached racially diverse, young, infrequent, likely Democratic voters, compared to party and candidate-driven efforts, blunting these groups’ shift toward Trump.
5. Boasted higher contact rates by prioritizing person-to-person outreach and year-round civic engagement over cold text outreach, the main approach of party, candidate, and other programs. These methods are likely to have a far greater effect in lower-turnout elections.

Check out our full analysis, Evidence of Electoral Impact in 2024, for more details.