Goal: Elect Democrats up and down the ballot to flip the U.S. House and build state-level power.
In Pennsylvania, our partners are organizing to flip three U.S. House seats to help Democrats regain control of the chamber, defend the Democratic majority in the Pennsylvania House, and flip the Pennsylvania Senate to win a Democratic trifecta in the Commonwealth. These victories will help fight authoritarianism, advance state policy progress, and open the door to winning the presidency, Congress, and thus a federal Democratic trifecta in 2028.
If we want to win a Democratic U.S. Congress and presidency in 2028, we must flip PA-07, PA-08, and PA-10 this year. Then, in 2028, we must hold the Democratic U.S. Senate seat and secure the swing state’s support for the Democratic presidential nominee.
Blocking the Trump agenda
By flipping three U.S. House seats (to help flip the whole chamber) and winning a Democratic state trifecta, Pennsylvania can play a key role in stopping Trump’s authoritarian attacks.
Emboldening Democrats
This year, MVP partners helped bold candidates like Chris Rabb win their primaries. Rabb’s victory will help galvanize voters the Democratic Party lost in 2024, while also rebuilding trust in the Party's future as a whole.
Progressive governance
A state trifecta would open the door to raising the minimum wage, increasing affordable housing, protecting the environment, lowering energy costs, and more.
Section 2
Landscape Analysis
Balance of Power
Governor
Josh Shapiro (D)
Secretary of State
Al Schmidt (R)
Attorney General
Dave Sunday (R)
U.S. Senate
John Fetterman (D)
Dave McCormick (R)
U.S. House
Democrats: 7
Republicans: 10
State Senate
Democrats: 23
Republicans: 27
State Supreme Court
Democrats: 4
Other: 1
Republicans: 2
State House
Democrats: 102
Republicans: 100
Vacancies: 1
Recent Vote Margins
U.S. President
2024
Donald Trump (R)
1.7%
2020
Joe Biden (D)
1.2%
2016
Donald Trump (R)
0.7%
2012
Barack Obama (D)
5.2%
U.S. Senate
2024
Dave McCormick (R)
0.2%
2022
John Fetterman (D)
0.0%
2018
Bob Casey Jr. (D)
13.1%
2016
Pat Toomey (R)
1.5%
Balance of Power: Notes
In 2024, Kamala Harris lost to Donald Trump by less than 2 points, and incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey lost his seat by just 0.2 points. These razor-thin margins show that with the right investment and strategy, we can flip the state.
Republicans are heavily courting Democratic Senator John Fetterman, who has been voting with Republicans on issues like the Iran war and ending the fall 2025 government shutdown with no guarantee of ACA subsidies, and has often been the lone Democratic vote to confirm Trump’s cabinet picks. MVP partner Working Families Partyplans to challenge him in 2028.
Organizing Ecosystem
Because of Pennsylvania’s high-profile role in federal elections, funders and Democratic Party strategists have long incentivized transactional, get-out-the-vote efforts over long-term organizing and power-building strategies. As a result, the Pennsylvania ecosystem primarily consists of sophisticated electoral organizing and voter mobilization groups that excel at moving people to the polls, but need additional investment and strategic coordination, which MVP provides, to build long-term, aligned movements that will win elections and build power.
Section 3
Key Partners
Asian Pacific Islander Political Alliance (API PA)
Asian Pacific Islander Political Alliance (API PA)'s mission is to build long-term power for APIs in Pennsylvania by coordinating political, electoral, and legislative work.
Make the Road Action PA
Make the Road Action Pennsylvania (MRA PA) builds power in Latine communities, communities of color, and working-class communities, with organizing centers in Allentown, Reading, and Philadelphia.
One Pennsylvania
One Pennsylvania (One PA) is the largest Black-led and Black-centered organization in PA. With seven chapters across the state, they primarily work in Philadelphia, Allegheny, Delaware, Dauphin, and Montgomery County.
Pennsylvania Stands Up
Pennsylvania Stands Up has strong programs in eastern Pennsylvania, focusing on specific organizing and electoral efforts where congressional electoral targets overlap with state House and state Senate targets
Pennsylvania United
Pennsylvania United (PA United) works to build hyper-local power in western Pennsylvania, with chapters from Erie in the north to Pittsburgh in the south.
Pennsylvania Working Families Party
Pennsylvania Working Families Party is a grassroots political party that recruits, trains, and elects the next generation of progressive leaders to office.
Section 4
Electoral Targets: A Closer Look
After a successful 2025 campaign to retain three Democratic justices on the state Supreme Court, we are well-positioned to expand Democratic gains in Pennsylvania this year. The U.S. House delegation is currently a 10-7 Republican majority; nevertheless, we have one of the best opportunities to flip a trio of competitive seats, which would put us on a clear path to flip the House in November.
PA-07, where GOP incumbent Ryan Mackenzie won by just 1 point in 2024. Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball both rank this race as a toss-up, where firefighter union president and Democratic candidate Bob Brooks — endorsed by MVP partners — has a good chance of winning. PA-07 is also considered a reliable bellwether district, giving a strong indication of which way Pennsylvania will go in the 2028 presidential election.
PA-08, where GOP incumbent Rob Bresnahan won by just 1.6 points in 2024. Cook Political Report recently moved this race from “lean Republican” to “toss-up,” with Democrat Paige Cognetti polling ahead of Bresnahan.
PA-10, where GOP incumbent Scott Perry won by just 1.3 points in 2024. Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball both rank this race as a toss-up, with Democrat Janelle Stelson polling ahead of Perry.
These races will be won on the margins. Our partners are engaging voters in all three districts (see more below), and their targeted efforts could mobilize the handful of voters we need to win.
We must hold Democrats’ majority in the Pennsylvania state House and win key races to flip the Pennsylvania state Senate this year, especially with the Pennsylvania General Assembly taking up redistricting in 2027.
State House: Expand the Democratic majority by defending or flipping 12 seats.
Democrats currently hold a razor-thin 102-99 majority in the state House. MVP and our partners are focused on maintaining and increasing the Democratic majority in the chamber.
To maintain Democratic control of the state House, we need to defend six seats: House Districts 16, 72, 118, 121, 144, and 172.
To increase Democrats’ margin of power in the state House, we need to flip six seats: House Districts 18, 44, 88, 137, 142, and 160.
State Senate: Win a Democratic trifecta by defending two seats and flipping four to flip the chamber.
Republicans currently hold a thin, 27-23 majority in the state Senate. To flip the chamber, MVP and our partners will work to:
Defend two seats: Senate Districts 14 and 36
Flip four seats: Senate Districts 6, 24, 16, and 40.
With Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro’s likely re-election this year, flipping the chamber would give Democrats a trifecta in the Commonwealth for the first time in 31 years. A Democratic trifecta would open the door to passing policies that working-class communities need: raising the minimum wage, increasing affordable housing, protecting the environment, lowering energy costs, and more.
Many of these target state House and Senate districts overlap with our target congressional races — PA-07, PA-08, and PA-10 — where MVP partners’ efforts will be mutually reinforcing to elect Democrats from the top of the ticket to the bottom of the ballot.
Section 5
How We Win
Strategy #1
Mobilize key voters: Turn out Black, Latine, and AAPI voters in support of Democratic congressional and legislative candidates.
Mobilizing Black, Latine, and Asian American and Pacific Islander (AAPI) voters in support of Democrats will be critical to flipping our three target U.S. House seats and winning down-ballot races. MVP partners already working across target districts will focus specifically on engaging and turning out these constituencies for Democratic candidates and bringing them into a multiracial movement to build power for long-term progress.
Make the Road Action Pennsylvania
Make the Road Action Pennsylvania (MRA PA) is the largest immigrant rights group in the state, organizing and building long-term power with primarily Latine Pennsylvanians. They have strong bases in Philadelphia and the Lehigh Valley, which has a significant Latine population and covers much of PA-07.
For the May 19 primary election, MRA PA endorsed Bob Brooks (the Democratic candidate for PA-07), provided Spanish-language get-out-the-vote messaging in support of Brooks, and led door-knocking efforts to turn voters out for Brooks in the Lehigh Valley. MRA PA has laid the groundwork through trust and relationship-building to successfully mobilize these voters for Bob Brooks and flip PA-07 in November.
One Pennsylvania
One Pennsylvania (One PA) is one of the largest, Black-led organizations focused on building Black political power in the state. They have strong bases in western and eastern Pennsylvania and understand that building power in Black communities requires a multi-modal approach that combines issue-based organizing with electoral mobilization.
One PA will leverage and expand its strong membership base to galvanize Black voters to the polls. With enough investment, One PA will establish a new member chapter in Dauphin County. Dauphin County is home to a significant Black population that essentially no other group has organized. With One PA’s added focus on Dauphin County, they will be able to mobilize and turn out overlooked Black voters in support of Democrats Janelle Stelson in PA-10 and Sara Agerton in HD-88, using this congressional/legislative district overlap to flip both seats in November.
Asian Pacific Islander Political Alliance
Asian Pacific Islander Political Alliance (API PA) builds statewide AAPI political power in Pennsylvania by combining issue-based organizing and electoral mobilization. They provide programming in 22 AAPI languages, including in-language voting information, and have become a trusted resource for AAPI voters across the state.
Ahead of the May 19th primary elections, API PA’s field program mobilized AAPI voters in key geographies, including Philadelphia, Dauphin County, and other communities that will be critical to winning state House and state Senate seats in November. Their track record in Dauphin County will be particularly important for flipping PA-10 and HD-88, while also building out their base in this area of the state for long-term organizing and future electoral victories.
One Pennsylvania organizers strategizing their next moves
Strategy #2
Leverage community relationships:Scale Pennsylvania’s Election Captains program.
In 2025, MVP partners came together to find a solution to the ineffectiveness of large-scale, transactional door-knocking programs that focused on quantity over quality. Led by Pennsylvania Working Families Party (PA WFP), our partners launched an Election Captains program focused on building deeper, more sustainable relationships with voters across the state. PA WFP and other state-based partners recruited and trained more than 1,100 Election Captains across 18 counties to knock over 175,000 doors, speaking with over 35,000 voters to help retain three Democratic seats on the Supreme Court of Pennsylvania.
This year, PA WFP is adapting and scaling the Captains program based on lessons from 2025. Learning from last year’s experience will increase the efficacy of the program this year to help flip target congressional districts and win critical state Senate and state House seats. PA WFP is coordinating 13 community organizations — most of which are MVP partners — to recruit, train, and deploy Election Captains where organizations have strong bases and are playing a major role in target races. The program will maintain 2025 Captains in Philadelphia, providing political education to strengthen Captains’ leadership and organizing skills.
PA WFP recruited 400+ Election Captains ahead of the May 19 primaries, where they helped Bob Brooks win the Democratic primary in PA-07. They will be able to leverage this groundwork to help Brooks and other Democratic candidates over the finish line as they aim to recruit 800 additional Captains by November, with a focus on PA-07 and PA-10.
Photo: Pennsylvania Working Families Party training Neighborhood Captains.
Strategy #3
Target tipping-point geographies: Mobilize cross-class, multiracial communities in eastern and western Pennsylvania.
With Pennsylvania’s status as a top swing state, we cannot take any geography for granted. We must elect Democrats up and down the ballot, while building ground-up, community-based power to strengthen Pennsylvania's Democratic potential over the long term in geographies that could determine local and statewide election outcomes.
Pennsylvania Stands Up
Pennsylvania Stands Up has strong programs in eastern Pennsylvania, focusing on specific organizing and electoral efforts where congressional electoral targets overlap with state House and state Senate targets, and where there is potential to engage working-class, white voters in support of Democrats.
PA Stands Up will leverage its chapters in Lancaster, the Lehigh Valley, and northeastern Pennsylvania (NEPA) to engage and mobilize voters in PA-07, PA-08, and strategic overlapping state House and state Senate races.
Lancaster Stands Up and Lehigh Valley Stands Up will target PA-07 to elect Democrat Bob Brooks as well as SD-14 and HD-137 — districts we must defend — and SD-16, which we must flip to win a Democratic state trifecta.
NEPA Stands Up will target PA-08 to elect Democrat Paige Cognetti, as well as HD-118 and HD-121, to increase Democrats' margin of power in the state House and increase our chances of flipping PA-08.
PA Stands Up is also engaging white, working-class residents in small towns and exurban areas outside of Philadelphia and in the Lehigh Valley. They are doing political education around the power of a multiracial democracy that works for working-class people of all races, shifting the narrative for white voters about why they can and should be civically engaged. PA Stands Up is also taking this approach in Bucks County, which is more than 80% white, to chip away at Republicans’ hold there and to boost Democratic support in the PA-01 election this year.
Pennsylvania United
Pennsylvania United (PA United) works to build hyper-local power in western Pennsylvania, with chapters from Erie in the north to Pittsburgh in the south. Chapters' local organizing focuses on Democratic and progressive wins to take over town councils, local school boards, county commissions, mayoral seats, and more.
PA United will leverage its hyper-local focus to turn voters out for Democrats to defend one state House seat — HD-16 in Beaver County — and flip another — HD-44 in Allegheny County.
Beyond this year’s electoral victories, PA United’s focus in western Pennsylvania helps build long-term, statewide power — especially with the bottom-up focus on local races — that will be critically important with municipal elections in 2027 and the must-win U.S. Senate and presidential races in 2028.
Photo: Pennsylvania Stands Up
Support our work to win power in Pennsylvania — and across the country.
Gifts over $10,000: Contact your MVP liaison or email advisor@movement.vote to discuss options.
PAC Donations
Movement Voter PAC
Movement Voter PAC is a federal political committee that primarily supports the political work of year-round organizing groups working to elect progressive candidates up and down the ballot.
PAC donations maximize impact on elections by giving voter organizing groups the most freedom to engage in partisan or political activity, such as endorsing candidates.
Donations must include full name, email, address, occupation, and employer. Donations are not tax-deductible nor anonymous, and will be reported to the FEC and state campaign regulators. FEC ID#: C00728360
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