Michigan: How We Win

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2024 Electoral Goals

  • Presidency: Win Michigan’s 15 electoral votes.
  • U.S. Senate: Elect likely Democratic nominee Elissa Slotkin to the open seat.
  • U.S. House: Defend 7-6 House delegation majority by holding MI-07 (where Rep. Slotkin is running for Senate) and MI-08 (where Rep. Kildee is not running again), while flipping MI-10, which we narrowly lost in 2022.
  • Governorship: Not up for election until 2026. 
  • Legislature: Protect the slim State House majority; State Senate not up for election.

 


Political Landscape

Presidential Vote Margins

U.S. Senate Vote Margins

2020

D

+2.8%

2020

D

+1.7%

2016

R

-0.3%

2018

D

+6.5%

2012

D

+9.5%

2014

D

+13.3%

2008

D

+16.5%

2012

D

+20.8%

Balance of Power

  • U.S. Senate: 2 Democrats
  • U.S. House: 7 Democrats, 6 Republicans
  • Governorship: Democratic
  • State Senate: Democratic majority (20 – 18)
  • State House: Split (54 – 54, with two vacancy-related April special elections favoring Democrats)

 


2024 Strategy

1) Galvanize youth and BIPOC voters around local issues.

  • Black voters could swing this election. In 2020, Black voters made up the Michigan margin of victory four times over, at 12% of the electorate and voting 92% for Biden. In 2022, Black voters were “determinative” to Democratic Governor Whitmer’s re-election.
  • Young voters in Michigan are an increasingly powerful bloc. In 2020, young voters chose Biden over Trump, 61% to 37%. In 2022, they voted for Democratic Governor Whitmer 63% to 36% and had a 36.5% turnout, the highest youth turnout in the nation.
  • Local issues drive turnout. Progressive issues are top of mind for young voters and Black voters. In 2022, Democratic voters rallied around these issues, suggesting a similar approach will work this year.
  • MVP partners are galvanizing voters around issues. Groups like Detroit ActionMOSES Action, and One Fair Wage are organizing voters around jobs, housing justice, racial justice, public health, and reproductive justice — while building the case for electing allies on these issues.

2) Shore up Latine turnout.

3) Help more groups do hard-hitting partisan election work. 

 


Partner Snapshots

Detroit Action

Detroit Action is a union of Black and Brown, low and no-income, homeless, and housing-insecure Detroiters fighting for housing and economic justice.

Michigan Liberation

Michigan Liberation is a statewide network organizing to end the criminalization of Black families and communities of color.

Michigan United Action

Michigan United Action is a statewide organization of leaders working for economic and racial justice, using the tools of community organizing and civic engagement to advocate for change. They are a multi-racial organization with membership in Detroit, Flint, Grand Rapids, and Kalamazoo.

Mothering Justice Action Fund

Mothering Justice Action Fund has been dedicated to returning decision-making power to those most impacted: mothers of color.

Oakland Forward Action Fund

Oakland Forward Action Fund endeavors to ensure that Oakland County, Michigan residents are well-equipped to continue the fight for social and economic justice.

We the People Michigan Action Fund

We the People Michigan Action Fund is building infrastructure to engage Michiganders on unifying issues like paid sick time, redistricting, and water rights, while also creating dialogue on divisions of race, class, gender, urban/rural, and immigration.

 


2024 State Budget (Partisan)

  • Total Estimated Need: $70 million (all local voter organizing)
  • MVP Baseline and Stretch Goals: $10-$20 million

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